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Assessing the Risks of Nuclear Confrontation Over Ukraine (Part One)

Since Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered the invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, Western governments and analysts have periodically expressed fears that the Kremlin might try to escalate by using nuclear weapons. This anxiety stems directly from Moscow’s own nuclear threat rhetoric: indeed, Putin’s original announcement of the officially designated spetsial’naya voyennaya operatsiya (special military operation) against Ukraine included … ....

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Assessing the Risks of Nuclear Confrontation Over Ukraine (Part Two)

To read Part One, please click here. Moscow’s official statements since February 24, 2022, concerning possible nuclear escalation should the United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) directly intervene in the Russo-Ukrainian war represent a deliberate policy of strategic deterrence. Possible escalation to a world war between the US and Russia is acknowledged by both sides, which … ....

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The Iron Pyrite Standard of Arms Control

The Iron Pyrite Standard of Arms Control
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Dead Hand: Meet Russia's World War III Nightmare Weapon

The Dead Hand allows Russia to retaliate even if all of their human leadership is dead.
Key point: Moscow s Perimeter system will launch a counter attack if Russia is hit first with nuclear weapons. In fact, a Russian general even claimed the system was recently improved.
Russia has a knack for developing weapons that at least on paper are terrifying: nuclear-powered cruise missiles, robot subs with 100-megaton warheads.
Perhaps the most terrifying was a Cold War doomsday system that would automatically launch missiles without the need for a human to push the button during a nuclear attack.
But the system, known as Perimeter or “Dead Hand,” may be back and deadlier than ever. ....

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Prolongation of New START won't thaw Russian-US relations - experts - World

Prolonging New START wonât thaw Russian-US tensions, say experts
On January 26, Moscow and Washington exchanged notes on reaching an agreement on the prolongation of New START, which was stalled by the administration of former US President Donald Trump.
MOSCOW, January 28. /TASS/. Provisions of the New Strategic Arms Reduction Treaty (New START) do not need to be expanded on, experts quizzed by TASS on Wednesday note. According to them, a new treaty will be needed to establish control over weapons developed after its signing.
On January 26, Moscow and Washington exchanged notes on reaching an agreement on the prolongation of New START, which was stalled by the administration of former US President Donald Trump. Although the initiative of the soonest prolongation of the treaty without preconditions came from US President Joe Biden, experts do not expect a thaw in Russian-US relations anytime soon. ....

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