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Let’s face it. The claim of uncertainty is a common argument against taking action on any prediction of future harm. “How do you know, for sure?”. “That might not happen.” “It’s possible that it will be harmless”, etc. It takes on many forms, and it can be hard to argue against. Usually, it takes a lot more time, space, and effort to debunk the claims than it takes to make them in the first place.It even has a technical term: FUD.

United statesPatrick frankBob loblawRichard mullerMeteorological service of canadaUncertainty monsterSkeptical sciencePhysicist richard mullerBerkeley earth surface temperatureCorrelated errorGlobal surface air temperatureThen thereNormal curveRoot mean square errorMean bias errorExample formulae