UK Defence Intelligence analysed the intentions of the Russian Federation to conduct a mobilisation in the occupied part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast. Source: UK Defence Intelligence review dated 5 May on Twitter, as reported by European Pravda Details: The analysts reported that the Kremlin proxy in the occupied part of Zaporizhzhia Oblast issued a "decree," stating that Russia is developing the necessary infrastructure and mechanisms for conscription in the region's occupied territories.
UK Defence Intelligence believes that Ukraine's 27 April attack on Kushchyovskaya, a Russian military airfield in Kuban, will prompt Russia to redeploy its air defence assets and disperse fighter jets.
The UK Defence Intelligence believes that Russia's next postponement of the yearly Immortal Regiment march on 9 May, the Victory Day in Russia, could reflect worries of an emergency, and that large gatherings may become a source of discontent as a result of the war in Ukraine.
UK Defence Intelligence has analysed data on a spike in the number of murders committed by the Russian military in Russia last year. Source: UK Defence Intelligence review on Twitter dated 27 April, as reported by European Pravda Details: On 18 April 2024, Russian news website Mediazone reported that 116 Russian servicemen had been convicted of murder in Russia in 2023.
Defence Intelligence of the United Kingdom has analysed reports of a record number of desertion cases being considered by military courts in Russia, as well as a record number of requests from Russians for asylum in foreign countries.