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of the institute for fiscal studies on whether the numbers add up, in any budget, or what these days we have to call fiscal event, can be devastating for a politician. that verdict is treated like the word of god, not least by broadcasters like the bbc who have experts from the ifs on our programmes all the time. my guest this week is the director of the ifs, pauljohnson. welcome to the programme. if the ifs is the word of god, that makes you god. how does that feel? very strange. he chuckles all we are, as it were, we are a research institute who happen to work on fiscal things, which means public spending and tax, and when the government or the opposition make big announcements on tax and spending, we analyse it and we analyse it off the back of decades of experience we ve got. with the numbers, with understanding of what this stuff means. so we are able to say, do these add up? will it achieve what the chancellor says it will achieve? and what are the risks? when mar ....
ten people have been killed and eight injured in an explosion at a petrol station in the republic of ireland police say it appears to have been a tragic accident . protests continue in iran and around the world as three people are killed in the country. now on bbc news it s political thinking with nick robinson. welcome to political thinking. one question haunts the chancellor, any chancellor of any political party. it is what will the iss say because the verdict of the institute for fiscal studies on whether the numbers add up, any budget and what these days we have to call fiscal events, can be devastating for a politician. it is what will the ifs say. that word is treated like the word of god, not least broadcasters like the bbc who have experts from the ifs on our programmes all the time. my guest this week is the director of the ifs, pauljohnson. welcome to the programme. if the ifs is the word of god that makes you god. how does that feel? , , ., that feel ....
two further explosions are heard as authorities continue to search the rubble in the city of zaporizhzhia more than 2a hours after a series of russian missiles hit civilian homes. and miracle baby find out how robbie s life was transformed while she was still in the womb. the uk s independent economic forecaster the office for budget responsibility has submitted its initialjudgment on the prospects for the economy to the chancellor this morning. we won t know what is in the draft report until budget day, which is currently planned for late november, but there s lots of speculation about how this will affect the cost of living. let s remind ourselves how we got here. two weeks ago kwasi kwarteng unveiled his mini budget claiming the biggest tax cuts in a generation. the obr wasn t allowed to assess the economic impact of those tax cuts which spooked global markets leading to a drop in the pounds value. it has affected the mortgage market with interest rates on a typica ....
and i m chris rogers the other stories on bbc news. several regions of ukraine occupied by russia begin voting in so called referendums on whether to become part of russia. protests continue across iran after the death of a young woman detained by the morality police . her father says they lied about how she died. and some promising news. scientists say a new type of cancer therapy is looking hopeful. hello, i mjoanna gosling, in westminster ahead of the government s mini budget annoncement this morning. the chancellor kwasi kwarteng is expected to unveil tax cuts and increases in public spending as part of plans to boost economic growth. it s not a full budget that s due later this year but it still has some pretty sizeable changes.let s have a look at what could be announced. the chancellor will confirm it will let people keep more of their earnings by cutting national insurance contributions & go through with the plan to cut corporation tax. the government cou ....
about the future of this country? edinburgh, queen elizabeth s northern capital, prepares . to greet her majesty. from the start, the queen clearly felt a deep affinity for scotland and its place in the uk. at her silverjubilee in 1977, she publicly stressed what she called the benefits of union. but in recent times, support for independence has surged. if the union with scotland in particular, but also the united kingdom as we know it is to be preserved, then the monarch has a role to play, the monarch will obviously want to try and maintain what has been there for centuries. how does support for the monarchy in scotland break down by party? yes, so there s clear differences. if you are talking to people who tend to support the conservative party, support is in the high 70s. if you re talking to people who support the liberal democrats and labour, it is in the 605. but if you re talking to people who support the snp, then support is much lower, in the high 20s. and yet ....