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MSNBC Morning Joe September 15, 2021 10:25:00

Democrats might outperform what you think they would in an off year election, and that has been the one thing joe biden has been consistent on in how he operates as a candidate and president. they re looking at the same polling data we are. they know what his success measure will be. it will be those two things. jim vandehei, thank you very much, thanks for being on way too early as well. good to have you. now, to some important new reporting on the world of tech. facebook s instagram app is harmful to a number of teenagers and facebook knows it. that s the bottom line. for the past three years, the social media giant has been conducting studies into how it s photo sharing app affects its millions of young users and according to a report in the wall street journal, the company s researchers found that instagram is harmful for a sizable percentage of them. ....

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MSNBC Morning Joe September 15, 2021 10:11:00

And saying it s a biden plus 30 state, every voter tunes in when they get a ballot laid to them, it lands the election right in their face, in their mailbox. in a state like california, that might help democrats, and the other thing along the lines, everyone, media, people, everyone just started paying attention to the race as it got closer, as the media coverage really picked up, certainly democrats kicked up their efforts. as it got more attention and came into the spotlight, i think people just kind of in general migrated to the political camps they have been migrating to in california and kind of nationally the last few years because again, so striking here how similar this is to last november s county. it s not like we re looking at it, it did 10 points, really it just maps to the point in november. that s why biden is there the night before the election, and ....

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MSNBC Morning Joe September 15, 2021 10:22:00

The real action is let s see how these districts are redrawn. the map does look good for republicans. what type of candidate do they recruit and what is that environment. where the biden administration is right, if they can get the coronavirus to start to fade and jobs continue to rise, democrats will be in as good as position in an off year election. those are the things people care about the most. we have seen that consistently in polls, and i think that s why it s one of the things that both the biden administration and newsom hit so hard so consistently at the end of that election. let s talk about another race that s going to be important. democrats looked in trouble in california. terry mccullough sends out an e-mail every 15 minutes saying he s going to get defeated, please send $15. ....

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MSNBC Morning Joe September 15, 2021 10:14:00

Democrats usually do better, where the turnout expands where you re running against donald trump, i m liking, if i m a democrat, i m liking very much what i m seeing this morning. i think just because i would be so paranoid. in politics you run scared, run ten points behind. like steve, i would wait to see how the numbers were in orange county, and look at the swing districts the democrats could pick up in 2022 and overlay those numbers. for me, i m sure republicans may look at this differently. for me, this is a really big win for democrats in terms of a report card nine months in. a lot of bad things happening on the national level. crow look at right now with afghanistan, you look at joe ....

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MSNBC Morning Joe September 15, 2021 10:23:00

I m not sure if it s that grim for him, but that virginia race closer than i ever expected it to be. what s it looking like there, and why is that race still so tight? i d say like a more interesting and more telling race. virginia is interesting because it was so republican, and then it became purple and quickly a democratic state, a state that if you just look at the demographics now, do favor democrats in a way we never would have talked about six years ago. in these off year elections, obviously when the party that s out of power can have some troubles, you want to see what happens in places that have at least big pockets of rural voters, trump voters, and there s no doubt that this is a tough race. probably not as bad as he s saying. you run scared and want to raise as much money as possible. you want to understand the possibility of defeat is out there, but it is tight, and i think in this specific case, if terry were to lose that race, that would be something that should scare ....

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