changed the shape of the election. you ve also heard mcconnell talk about the quality of his candidates, or should i say the lack thereof. number of top tier senate races, places like arizona that should be really at the center of the strategy for control of the united states senate are slipping away from republicans. it s no longer considered a toss-up race. we have states that trump run one for eight points like ohio, have seen a republican candidate j.d. vance, who advance only because of trump s endorsement, struggled mightily in a place like that. as we sit here tonight senate control is basically a coin flip. it s gonna come down to three or four seats and if you had told many republicans and democrats that just a few months ago, they would ve called you crazy. and now it s very realistic that democrats could hold control of the senate in six weeks. politics, less than six
the number of mentions on faox news. this is a clearine he has an idea how to generate press among himself and the republican base, which we ve already seen in the poll which showed him slightly ahead of donald trump which such a vast difference when he was able to beat the home state senator marco rubio. and we know trump hates it when anyone gets more press than he does. you re watching closely three races that you think are going to determine control of the senate. tell us about those. yeah, so essentially there are three races i m looking at. i think if either side wins two out of the three races they ll probably gain control. the number one state i m looking at nevada. the democratic incumbent is probably in more trouble. this is basically a toss up race, well within the margin of error of each other. now, of course democrats will
this is technically an official event. we ll see the president go to battleground ohio for an event, a groundbreaking for a new plant that is opening up there as a result of that new legislation, the chips act. we will see the white house continue to balance these kinds of official events that let some down ballot democrats in tough races, matt cartwright, from this district in a toss up race who did speak here as did josh shapiro, the attorney general running for governor as well, they will find ways as president biden likes to say, i ll campaign for you or against you, whatever helps you the most. today those two democrats were aligned with the president on this law and order message. times where democrats will be looking to establish distance between themselves and the president. mike memoli live in wilkes-barre and john allen and carmen best. a break in the programming. we expect a couple more speakers and then bring you president biden live the second he begins speaking right he
what are you focussed on? this is the united states map. governors races. it s blank. let s flip it back to 2016 and the presidential race. two key races that obviously everybody is focussed on. florida. and georgia. the hottest most contested most malicious races that you have seen. i want to point to a couple red states. two very flipable states for democrats. move to the midwest. this is where president trump shocked the nation in 2016. just about two years ago. take a look at the states. democrats believe are firmly in play. pennsylvania. democrats believe they hold that seat. ohio. a toss up race. democrats feel like they have an opportunity. michigan. another state president trump is stunned everybody in. they feel like that s going into their category. wisconsin. scott walker for the third term. democrats feeling good. and iowa. what do the races mean?
approvali approval rating is in the state, if you re pro-trump you vote republican. if you re anti-trump, you vote for the democrat. i think as a democratic pollster, that number plus also the i.d. spread between democrat and republican, those are the numbers i ll be watching. the missouri poll had the president s job rating at 50%. when i first saw that i went oh, that s good news for holly. but then it has mccaskill up and i thought oh, that s why it s a toss up race. what do you think republicans should be staring at in the wall street journal poll? it s all geography. we re running in too many open seats as republicans and too many seats heillary clinton carried. and you were exactly correct, people don t get it. a wave is not some massive margin. it s because white college educated women voted large numbers, they re voting very