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Piper Sandler

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ROTH Capital Partners

ROTH Capital Partners
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Michael Lavery

Michael Lavery
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Tilray Inc (NASDAQ:TLRY), (APHA) - Tilray Analysts On The Sidelines Despite Solid Earnings

The Tilray Thesis: “We believe Tilray s announced merger with Aphria can help build its scale and benefits from medical sales growth in the EU, Lavery wrote in the downgrade note. We expect better profitability, helped by contributions from Aphria, deal synergies, and growth in higher-margin international medical sales.
Lavery expects US marijuana to be federally permissible within one to two years, and as a result, there is still little visibility on Tilray s path to enter US THC markets.
With Tilray’s shares up 280% year to date, “we do not see upside to current valuation,” he added.
Commenting on Tilray’s fourth-quarter results, Fortune wrote, “We are encouraged by the 25% growth in cannabis sales which saw strength from Germany, and the international segment contribute 23% of 2020 sales. We see upside in the model from a cost savings standpoint if the announced merger with Aphria goes smoothly, but maintain Neutral on a challenging Canad ....

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