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Archbishop of quebec. he is now based here in the vatican. he is the head of the congregation of bishops. and along with cardinal dolan from new york and cardinal o malley of boston, there s also a third american who s getting some attention and that is donald whorl, who s the archbishop of washington, d.c.. and cardinal scola out of milan, he is italian, but not part of the curia. is that why he would be someone, a contender more considered, because he s outside of the curia, but inside italy? well, he is. and you know, basically, the college of cardinals has broken into two camps from what we understand. the old guard, if you will, those who want to keep things the way they are, those would be the members of the curia, and the reformers. and most of the american cardinals fall into that reformer group. but, you know, at this point, thomas, it s anybody s guess, ....
People who are new, because these circumstances are so historic, i don t think anybody really can tell you what s going to happen inside the walls of the sistine chapel, thomas. certainly, the names that keep popping up, from the american side. cardinal timothy dolan, cardinal scola, marc ouellet, and as chris mentioned, odilo scherer of brazils. what does it mean that we are in historic times for the fact that we have a pope emeritus, and that we have not been in a period of mourning leading up to this election and the fact, as chris pointed out, that these certain cardinals, more than half of which were appointed by pope benedict, have had the opportunity to get to know each other over the last week. i think it makes this a really exciting time. it s very happy, because we don t have that sort of heaviness of saying good-bye to one pope, in the sense we ve ....
Take that first ballot. thomas? and anne, what are we hearing? because back here at home, certainly, the media has been talking about cardinal o malley and cardinal dolan potentially being in the running, but they ve also been getting some favorable press overseas. they really have. and especially the italians seem to be really fond of cardinal sean o malley of boston. they like the fact that he is a monk. that he wears robes and sandals. they like his humble presence, and they seem to think that might be a good option for the next pope. let me talk about some other people who are getting a lot of play here. the italian newspapers speculate that the person going into the conclave with the most votes is cardinal scola, who is the archbishop of milan. but they say that he is far short of the 77 votes needed the to become the next pope. other people being talked about, cardinal scherra, who is the archbishop of sao paulo, the largest catholic diocese in the world. mark ouellet, the fo ....
All love to see that. i don t think that there are any analysts that i ve talked to for sure or vatican insiders who think that it will go that long. having said that, it is really interesting. the last few things we ve heard from cardinals just today. there was a cardinal from chile who suggested that he thinks this can go on for a while. there was one from south africa, who said he would think it would go four to five days. the average for the last nine, thomas, is just over three days. and as you ll remember, pope benedict was elected in less than 24 hours. but he went into it as a true favorite. we don t have that this time. and so, yeah, i think it could be anything. the only thing that i would say, with any degree of certainty, is that it s not going to happen today. we will get smoke today, we think, but i would be absolutely stunned. i ve said, i think i ll fall off this hill if there s white smoke at some point today, thomas. chris, i m going to ask you to stand by along wit ....
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