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Know generally speaking the year out doesn t really mean much. but in the mid-march before the election, that s when those approval ratings really begin to mean something. this is where the presidents were polling and whether or not they got re-elected. the green is, yes, they won the election. the black is, no, they didn t win the election. look at this. if you re polling at 47% or above, normally those people win re-election, right or win election in the case of a few of these folks. but if you re polling at 47% or below, those people, ford, carter, bush, all those did not go on to win that full term. throw out the highest and the lowest and that s more than random here because they were both dealing with huge exigencies, right? he had the war and he had the tax issue. sure. johnson had civil strife like nowhere else, and he was dealing with the civil rights act, which really helped because that was such a momentum builder for the administration at that time. you really don t h ....

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