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US recession 2024: Amazon economists say they can spot recession in real time

Two economists at Amazon say they have a model that allows them to identify a recession in the US and Europe.

Claudia sahmInternational monetary fundEuropean central bankAmazon web servicesFederal reserveEuropean commission economic sentiment indicatorComposite indicatorSystemic stressEuropean centralPurchasing managers indexEuropean commissionEconomic sentimentSahm rule

Amazon Economists Tout New Model to Call Recessions in Real Time

Amazon Economists Tout New Model to Call Recessions in Real Time
bnnbloomberg.ca - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from bnnbloomberg.ca Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

Domenico giannoneClaudia sahmFrancesco furnoEuropean commission economic sentiment indicatorAmazon web servicesEuropean central bankFederal reserveInternational monetary fundNational bureau of economic researchNational bureauComposite indicatorSystemic stressEuropean centralPurchasing managers indexEuropean commissionEconomic sentiment

Quantifying financial stability risks for monetary policy

Quantifying financial stability risks for monetary policy
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United statesFederal reserveMonetary analystsSystemic risk indicatorComposite indicatorSystemic stressGreat financial crisisEconomic reviewWorking paper seriesPaper seriesApplied econometricsOccasional paper series

General considerations on conditions that could inform potential buffer releases in the future

General considerations on conditions that could inform potential buffer releases in the future
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Marek rusnComposite indicatorSystemic stressCountry level indexFinancial stress

Why short term financial stresses could actually de-stress the ECB in the long run

Why short term financial stresses could actually de-stress the ECB in the long run
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Christine lagardeCredit suisseExchange rate mechanismSilicon valley bankSingle supervision mechanismSingle resolution mechanismComposite indicatorSystemic stressGlobal financial crisisArea wide model