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Show up and that s good for romney. if it s the old-styl sort of the activists that show up, i think santorum enough momentum,ith a little bit of a wild card here in rick perry, but then santorum does get out of here with some momentum. an i think that that s what we don t know. let me stick with santorum with you, chuck. if you look insid the numbers of the poll, the last couple of days, when they were in the field, talking to folks, this is what you see thatsantorum is actlly 21% because in those last twoays his numbers actually shoot up 6%, so if you re measuring intensity, not ooking at the full range of the poll, but just the last couple of days, you see santorum s really got that buz and thatas the big thing out of the nbcarist poll. both polls almost fit together and it was sanrum and ron paul for instance that had much more intensity than mit romney. in fact, rick perry had more intense support in o poll that mitt rmney did. and that s the romney problem. he s got the, well ....
The voting starts here in iowa on tuesday. and here s how the race looks this morning, with the des moines register poll showing a three-way race now with romney leading ron paul by two points and ric santorum with a late surge. we will lk to santorum about his surpre momentum in the race just a couple of moment but first we have wi us nbc s political director chuck todd, and the chairman of iowa s republican party, matt strawn. welcome to both of you. good morng. happy new year. good morning. welcome ck. so, chuck todd, partner, where are we this morning? well, i think we re trying to gure out this. wht are iowaaucusgoers going to do? are they going to come into these caucuses tuesday night and ck a president or are they oing to do what they ve done in the pt, which is send a message and nnow the field? if they come in and a lot of them want to pick a presidnt mi romney is going to win, turnous going to go up, you re going to see the casual voter show up and that s good for ro ....
Show up and that s good for romney. if it s the old-styl sort of the activists that show up, i think santorum enough momentum,ith a little bit of a wild card here in rick perry, but then santorum does get out of here with some momentum. an i think that that s what we don t know. let me stick with santorum with you, chuck. if you look insid the numbers of the poll, the last couple of days, when they were in the field, talking to folks, this is what you see thatsantorum is actlly 21% because in those last twoays his numbers actually shoot up 6%, so if you re measuring intensity, not ooking at the full range of the poll, but just the last couple of days, you see santorum s really got that buz and thatas the big thing out of the nbcarist poll. both polls almost fit together and it was sanrum and ron paul for instance that had much more intensity than mit romney. in fact, rick perry had more intense support in o poll that mitt rmney did. and that s the romney problem. he s got the, well ....
About to officiall beg, as the voting starts here in iowa on tuesday. and here s how the race looks this morning, with the des moines register poll showing a three-way race now with romney leading ron paul by two points and ric santorum with a late surge. we will lk to santorum about his surpre momentum in the race just a couple of moment but first we have wi us nbc s political director chuck todd, and the chairman of iowa s republican party, matt strawn. welcome to both of you. good morng. happy new year. good morning. welcome ck. so, chuck todd, partner, where are we this morning? well, i think we re trying to gure out this. wht are iowaaucusgoers going to do? are they going to come into these caucuses tuesday night and ck a president or are they oing to do what they ve done in the pt, which is send a message and nnow the field? if they come in and a lot of them want to pick a presidnt mi romney is going to win, turnous going to go up, you re going to see the casual voter sho ....