Lets bring in our guests today, arguing that stocks might not be so close to new highs for very long mike wilson, Morgan Stanley, back with us good to see you. Glad to be back. 10 correction is the most likely outcome why is that . Its a continuation from the call we made in september where we got a 10 correction. We walrallied back all this comes back to our framework. We look at the valuation its pretty full volatility has picked up because of the events they know are out there, whether its the virus, the second wave, or the election the premium we believe is a bit understated from where it should be thats all were saying. Its full here these risks are not going away for the next 30 days theyll be with us so, look, the range we put out in august, 3,100 to 3,550 holds. Were still bullish on the vshaped recovery, the call we made a while ago we think its a new bull market. But its risk reward and the risk reward for the upper end of the rage is not that good. If the facts change, could
Industrial average is up more than 760 points. Steve weiss, i go to you first is this how a bottom, at least a near term bottom, is made . Does it feel like we are trying to do that today right friday we started trying to do it, towards the last hour of trading powell came out and talked i dont think there is any surprise to what he said i put some exposure on then. Put more on this morning feeling good about the market. But i think it is going to be shortterm heres why the u. S. , as of friday, performed 500 covid19 tests right . Putting that in perspective, the uk performed 8,000, south korea performed 65,000 the point is that once we start ramping up those tests and pence said we would have 5,000, you are going to see in my view more major outbreak in the u. S. You think the numbers are going to go way up. Dramatic and that will put pressure on the market last week alone i spoke to five Tech Companies you hear them saying 50, 60 are back to work when you ask them to break down the n
Good wednesday morning i am carl king with jon fortt. Dow is up 128. Tech sector leads the s p. For more on tech, bring in Victor Anthony and elly wheeler, partner. Welcome to you both. Welcome to tech resilience in the face of the selloff, even though we can parse, fang, talk about underperformance within that right i mean, there are certain names that are underperforming facebook and alphabet. Ironically, those are two names with multiple support but they have secular growth drivers. From all of them, market share gains across the board, ecommerce and advertising but in the case of netflix, subscriber growth that continues to be strong i am buying alphabet, a buy on facebook and amazon. Hold on netflix for now. But i am optimistic bought all these names. Facebook and alphabet, were talking later this hour about regulatory threats do you think thats effecting them, those two in particular . I think for alphabet, eu overhang has been an issue for several years. It will continue to be a
Hey, scott. Thanks for having me. We keep moving away from this bottom why are we going to have a shock drop once again, as you put it well, its a great question so most of these indicators are absolutely useless over time the ones that actually work are the ones most correlated by extremes in human nature in other words, you get a human nature extreme and inflect so what happened this time, and we measure like a shock drop is looking at a tenweek rate of change on the vix. And when it gets over 125, which it did, we looked at times in the past where that kind of quote, unquote, shock happens. And you typically get a 5 rally off of that shock low. So weve had just about a 5 rally off that low and then you go down and retest and typically break that point so i think, you know, what were calling for i get it. Guys are jumping on the retest bandwagon. But its typically what happens when you get a shock. Well, we already kind of had a retest and weve also moved far more than 5 off of what
Good thursday morning. Welcome to squawk alley. Carl quintanilla with jon fortt and Kayla Tausche at post 9 of the new york stock exchange. Joining us, Business Insider ceo Henry Blodgett. And in minneapolis, bill george, former medtronics ceo, former exxonmobil board member, of course a cnbc contributor. Good morning, guys. Our first story is amazon today, announcing it will create more than 100,000 new fulltime, fullbenefit jobs across the u. S. Over the next year and a half. Our deidra bosa is at one market with more on that. Hey, deirdre. Good morning, guys. Amazon was already on track to become one of the largest employers in the country and this announcement confirms that trajectory. The company emphasized that the opportunities will be for people across the country and with all types of experience, education and skill levels. Ceo jeff bezos says these jobs are not just in our seattle headquarters or in Silicon Valley. Theyre in our Customer Service network, Fulfillment Centers a