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NZ 'in recession territory' - service, manufacturing sector surveys show

The services sector is contracting with employment recording its weakest month since February 2022. ....

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Yen Steady After Brief Ripples from BoJ, Dollar Softens Mildly

Yen weakened momentarily after BoJ left monetary policy unchanged as widely expected, but swiftly regained stability. This quick recovery underscores the market's assessment that the conditions for a BoJ rate hike in April remain intact. This viewpoint is bolstered by unchanged CPI core-core forecast, which holds steady at 1.9% for the upcoming two fiscal years. However, BoJ refrained from offering any immediate signals for such a policy shift. The decision on whether to raise interest rates will depend heavily on the outcomes of the Spring wages negotiations, especially in terms of the breadth of wage growth. Given these circumstances, Yen still faces potential downside risks in the near term. ....

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New Zealand BNZ services falls to 48.8, back in contraction

New Zealand BusinessNZ Performance of Services Index fell from 51.1 to 48.8 in December, back into contraction territory. This downturn also brings the index below long-term average of 53.4. The increase in negative sentiment is evident, with the proportion of negative comments rising from 54.0% to 58.7%. The primary concerns expressed by businesses revolve around seasonal factors, increasing costs of living, and an overall economic slowdown. ....

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Forex Markets Lack Clear Theme; Yen Rebounds Briefly, EUR/GBP Resumes Downtrend

Identifying a singular driving theme proves challenging In today's forex market. Japanese Yen made an attempt to rebound following BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's post-meeting press conference, where he hinted at the potential of a future rate hike. However, this rebound was short-lived, and Yen soon reverted to its familiar tight trading range, indicating that the market is uncertain on when the anticipated rate move would happen. Dollar, despite being lower on the performance chart, is showing signs of gaining momentum against European majors as the market enters into the US session. ....

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Inflation on more rapid downward trend, BNZ economist says

The rate of inflation is rapidly declining, but factors like bad weather and high insurance costs will continue to be a stress point, an economist says. ....

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