Silver Methodology News Today : Breaking News, Live Updates & Top Stories | Vimarsana

Of the 538 blog. as of this morning, silver methodology gives president obama an 85.1% chance of receiving the majority of the electoral college votes on tuesday. and winning another term in office. mitt romney has just a 14.9% chance according to silver. those numbers are generating a lot of controversy and part of the issue is trying to understand what silver means when he talks about probability. so cornell x you said we got it talk to the people. i m thinking yeah, but he seems to do well predicting based on the way that he manages the poll numbers. the thing about polling. if you look at the polls from 08, most of the polls were within three points of the race. we ve actually gotten really good at polling. the other big thing this happened over the years, is that the wilder effect or the bradley effect if you will, we ve seen that sort of disappear in a way that makes polling awfully accurate right now. if you have the art of it right ....

President Obama , Mitt Romney , Electoral College Votes , Silver Methodology , 85 1 , 14 9 , War In Iraq , Poll Numbers , Bradley Effect ,