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​​Adaptive modelling for a novel virus: reflections on COVID-19 in South Africa​

​​SARS-CoV-2 is the most disruptive virus the world has faced in the last century. In the absence of previous experience, knowledge of the behaviour of this disease and the impact of measures of control, mathematical modelling and other analytical approaches have played a significant role in the global response to the pandemic. Due to the rapidly changing nature of the outbreak globally and in South Africa, mathematical models were updated regularly as new data became available. ....

University Of Cape Town , Western Cape , South Africa , United Kingdom , South African , Sheetal Silal , Honorary Visiting Research Fellow In Tropical Disease , Department Of Statistical Sciences , Nuffield Department Of Medicine At Oxford University , Professor Sheetal Silal , Simulation Hub , Associate Professor , Statistical Sciences , Cape Town , Honorary Visiting Research Fellow , Tropical Disease Modelling , Nuffield Department , Mathematical Modelling , Infectious Diseases , Saharan Africa , Modelling Consortium ,