rate of 4.2%, where is the economy? basically fourth quarter changed on the outside it s visible on the report. the best single number is to go back to the september reserve meeting, they set 4% an appointment was about what i think is sustainable warm front and they and that meaning forecasted by the end of the year unemployment will be 4.8% it goes down to 4.2 so put an enormous amount of pressure on them to start acting. paul: the economy is pretty strong, who will have a really strong fourth-quarter probably despite omicron. let s talk about inflation, federal reserve chair, transitory climate, it took a long time. what you expect inflation to be in november at december? 6% on an annual basis? there s never been year for