When it begins lets elook at what is driving the numbers today. Millions of americans remain out of work. Could that weakness pressure lawmakers to reach a stimulus deal we will see. Negotiations are under way as we speak. The dow up some 200 points or so two thirds of a percentage with 59 minutes left in the trading week kayla. Wilf, it is great to see you on this friday afternoon coming up on the show, door dash and airbnb ipos to come next week and a big test for appetite of some names in growth tech speaking of high growth, scott cutler, we will get his take on the e competition in apparel and sneakers mike santoli has the market covered. Ylan moi is tracking the latest movements on a stimulus deal and we will dig about sboo the jobs report with Dana Peterson. Mike first to you. What are you seeing behind the charts. Almost all news translated to good news for the market in this current mood that investors are in if you look at a fiveyear chart. Decided to broaden it out here more
We can see the light at the end of the tunnel. We see the kasim terrific vaccine news from the highly promotional mo dederna. Nasdaq advancing. 95 . Despite the case numbers from florida, texas, california, arizona, we might be able to go back to normal sooner than we thought thanks to moderna or frankly, the dozens of Companies Working on a vaccine including astrazenika. The vaccines, thats the light at the end of the tunnel it led to ludicrously bullish action cruise lines, airlines, restaurants, the retailers, the Covid Vaccine gain if everything goes perfect, it will be months for the vaccine is ready, maybe years. You got to finish studying before you inoculate they havent faced trials. They need to make sure it works and no serious side effects when presented on mass, not just this little group and manufacture hundreds of millions of doses, in the interim, there is only one serious fairly foolproof method to bridge us to a successful vaccine and that is stimulus from the federal
Lets get straight into some of these burning issues. With me, bloombergs allison, lisa, and jason kelly. Lets start with allison. Investors have debated about how to invest in this years piling debt, given the u. S. Economy is ok. Lets hear what marathons Bruce Richards had to say. Bruce we are starting to see a negative quarter, this past quarter of Earnings Growth being negative, and i think we will see a couple more quarters of that in the early part of 2020. And when earnings go down, that is going to be a very key point for some of these companies that are so over levered when they have lower earnings and meanwhile, have to service this heavy load of debt. Lisa you have been covering the distress we have been seeing. Talk about how much there has been so far this year. So in november, we saw the supply distress debt hit 126 million, the most since august 2016. And really, the highest of this cycle. Historically speaking, that is really not that much in the grand scheme of things c
Lets get to our market reporters. What are we watching . The index watching cryptocurrencies including bitcoin and either. If we look at a chart of the global strength indicator, we can see it flashed a buy signal with the index getting it percent since tuesday. That is good news for crypto fans who have seen crypto come under pressure in the last few months. Your look at bitcoins performance, we can see it rose 277 through june, lost half of we valley since then, but have some analysts coming out and saying 2020 be better for crypto prices. Say bitcoin could rise as much as 10,000 in 2020. That would be quite the rise for bitcoin appeared on the rise this year, the s p 500 up really 29 . Santana clearly visiting stocks this year with the s p 500 climbing that wallow worry. The official santa claus rally pens on january 3. Lets look at a chart that may give some clues. Lets take a look at a threemonth chart of the s p 500 and the dollar. A risk on period with dollar yen and the s p 500
Of december and november was a very strong month for stocks, even though you did see some declines on black friday youre looking at the best returns we saw since june for all of the major averages. Last week again, you did see some big gains too right now the dow, s p and nasdaq are still less than 1 to 2 of the intraday highs with these gains, youll see them challenging that as tom mentioned. Although, i also remember last the first trading day of december last year. Not quite as much fun. I still have some night mares about that. Would not be the only one with scars leftover from that. I think the dow was down 15 at one point in december last year we were having a great year. Markets were up, not up like they are this year. Bottomed on christmas eve, december 24th and saw things take off from there. Its been a very strong year. Will a santa claus rally power the s p 500 and dow to their best year in a generation . Could happen. Were up a lot. What will that take to get there, 5 . Pro