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MSNBC Morning Joe June 4, 2024 10:14:00

Fetterman, 3.4. august 1st, it was fetterman 8.7. so that has come down considerably, more than 5 points since then. there s a lot of uneasiness among democrats when they look at pennsylvania, a lot of variables there. a couple of other things to point out on this board here. wisconsin, ron johnson, running for his third term from wisconsin. i don t remember seeing many or maybe even any polls in 2016 and 2010 that had ron johnsonahead. this is a much better position than it was six years ago, when he won one of the biggest upsets on election night to get reelected and then in georgia where you had that debate friday night, rafael warnock and herschel walker, warnock continue to go lead in the polling, haven t had much in the way of post-debate polling. so we re keeping an eye on that, and the other wild card in georgia, it s the runoff state, you ve got to get 50% plus one or it goes to a runoff december ....

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MSNBC The Kornacki Countdown June 4, 2024 02:11:00

Entire balance of the senate could come down to how those swing voters but here. thank you very much for joining us, after a lively debate tonight. let s take a look, your head back over to the board. speaking of where this race stands, let s take a look here, a closer look at georgia in the polling, how this fits into that question of control. what you are seeing here is the current polling average in those georgia races. warnock is leading walker here. we have had a couple of polls that came out since those allegations ten days ago were launched against herschel walker. you could see here it s a bit more than three points to lead that warnock enjoys over a walker. the x-factor to remember, when you think about georgia, i don t need to remind you of this if you remember the 2020 election, georgia is a runoff state. there is a third candidate in this case, a libertarian, who s going to get 2 to 3 points of the vote, in georgia. in 2020, those senate races won two runoffs, if neither on ....

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MSNBC The Kornacki Countdown June 4, 2024 05:11:00

Georgia is a runoff state. there is a third candidate in this case, a libertarian, who s going to get 2 to 3 points of the vote, in georgia. in 2020, those senate races won two runoffs, if neither one of these candidates can crack 50% on election night. guess, what georgia goes to a runoff. the runoff would be held on december six, when you look at the broader senate map, it s not impossible at all that this control of the senate could, again, come down to a runoff from georgia. we would have a month after the election to overtime these two candidates having the runoff to determine control. that is not impossible. two other things to note here, when you look inside the numbers, one of the polls that came out this week, emerson poll, there is a bit of a difference, there may be to beat those allegations against walker, the favorable, unfavorable score, for warnock, his favorable is just a tick over 50, for walker, he is a tick upside down there. there is a slight potentially ....

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MSNBC The Kornacki Countdown June 4, 2024 10:11:00

Polling, how this fits into that question of control. what you are seeing here is the current polling average in those georgia races. warnock is leading walker here. we have had a couple of polls that came out since those allegations ten days ago were launched against herschel walker. you could see here it s a bit more than three points to lead that warnock enjoys over a walker. the x-factor to remember, when you think about georgia, i don t need to remind you of this if you remember the 2020 election, georgia is a runoff state. there is a third candidate in this case, a libertarian, who s going to get 2 to 3 points of the vote, in georgia. in 2020, those senate races won two runoffs, if neither one of these candidates can crack 50% on election night. guess, what georgia goes to a runoff. the runoff would be held on december six, when you look at the broader senate map, it s not impossible at all that this control of the senate could, again, come down to a runoff from georgia. we would ....

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MSNBC Alex Wagner Tonight June 4, 2024 01:40:00

You re gonna maybe have voting for raphael warnock in the senate race? i actually think it s not too hard to imagine went to war with donald trump and they both won republican primaries about against trump backed opponents. if you re a voter in georgia who doesn t really like joe biden, doesn t really like the democrats, but also doesn t like donald trump, that s a kind of voter that charges democrats are able to get to and might say, hey, can t is perfectly acceptable. that disconnect. the other challenge though he has to finish ahead of walker, obviously, but georgia runoff state. if he doesn t get to 50% plus one, there s a libertarian in the race. we ve seen this in georgia many ....

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