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Why This Time Really Is Different for Europe by Alexandra Dimitrijevic & Roberto Sifon-Arevalo


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Our own sovereign rating actions since March 2020 have taken into consideration the nature of the shock triggered by this public-health crisis – massive, but exogenous and temporary – and how well countries have been able to respond to it. For now, monetary and external flexibility as well as economic resilience are better indicators of sovereign creditworthiness than a country’s debt-to-GDP ratio.
Globally, we have downgraded nearly a quarter of the sovereigns we currently rate. Most are lower-rated emerging- or frontier-market borrowers that had pre-existing vulnerabilities and less financial resilience and flexibility to deal with COVID-19 and its economic consequences. This includes seven defaults, all by sovereigns that were at the lower end of our rating scale (“B” or below) before the pandemic. ....

Carmen Reinhart , Kenneth Rogoff , International Monetary Fund , European Central Bank , European Stability Mechanism , Year Ahead , Next Generation , Resilience Facility , Alexandra Dimitrijevic , Roberto Sifon Arevalos , Covid 19 , S Ampp Global Ratings , கார்மென் மறுஹார்ட் , கெநெத் ரோகாஃப் , சர்வதேச பண நிதி , ஐரோப்பிய மைய வங்கி , ஐரோப்பிய ஸ்திரத்தன்மை பொறிமுறை , அடுத்தது ஜெநரேஶந் , விரிதிறன் வசதி , சர்வதேச பரவல் , கள் அம்ப்ப உலகளாவிய ரேடிஂக்ஸ் ,