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中金：美国经济陷入"滞胀"状态？ _ 东方财富网

中金：美国经济陷入"滞胀"状态？ _ 东方财富网
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中金固收：传统债券分析框架真的有失灵么？

　　广义流动性收紧，狭义流动性有必要维持宽松
　　如果基本面对债券收益率的回落是解释的通的话，那么还需要有货币政策的配合才能使得逻辑更加顺畅。央行7月份的降准，表面上是超市场预期，但实际上是符合经济规律和过去货币政策操作逻辑的。这个规律和逻辑就是：如果广义流动性收紧，那么狭义流动性就可以保持平稳甚至可以适度放松。2018年也出现过这种广义紧，狭义松的情况。或者用另外术语来描述，就是紧信用，宽货币。如果我们把货币政策的调控分为量和价两个维度来理解的话，那么量就是指影响M2和社融等广义流动性的调控工具，而价就是指影响利率和汇率等价格的调控工具。过去，我们把实际社融增速（剔除通胀后的社融增速）、实际债券利率（剔除通胀后的平均债券利率）、实际汇率（通胀调整后的汇率）三个� ....

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中金：从供需关系看后续美债收益率走势 _ 东方财富网

中金：从供需关系看后续美债收益率走势 _ 东方财富网
eastmoney.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from eastmoney.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

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