in the numbers, white house is good reason to be worried. if you look at the last two presidents that have lost reelection bids, george h.w. bush and jimmy carter, both of those in their reelection years, the unemployment rate ticked up between march and june of their reelection years. that is why this next report is so critical for president obama and the white house. that portends to the uptick of the unemployment rate but psychologically has a major impact. if that trend doesn t turn around, that says a lot because every president has won the election has the opposite trend. heather: we have to talk about these leaks. we ve been reporting on them, details about a u.s. cyber attack on iran s nuclear program president s role in directing drone attacks around covert
wrist. he could have been fined and off thed from the house. look at six democrats. they are facing tough reelection bids. it makes sense for them to come back and stand by the ethical problems. we want him out if this is a space. and that is not all of the people making comments about them. if he is found guilty. and it is time to go now. it is because of the time consumption at the trial and resources and money that he should step aside now.
presidents supreme court announcement tonight. joe donnelly in india india, joe manchin of west virginia and heidi heitkamp of north dakota. all three declined the invitation, saying they wanted to first meet the nominee and discuss their judicial philosophy. all three of those senators are in very tight races in states that president trump won. republicans and conservatives are pressuring them to vote yes on kavanaugh or risk having their reelection bids undermined. liberals on the other hand are demanding that senate minority leader chuck schumer try to strong-arm them into opposing trumps nominee. we should note all three voted to confirm sipping court justice neil gorsuch but our senior capitol hill producer chad pergram reports tonight that senator manchin told him he could vote either way. it s also worth watching alabama senator doug jones who was not yet a senator when gorsuch was confirmed and is not up for reelection, but he s a conservative democrat in a very red state. here
election in a very different way. we re not going to focus so much on polls, those change every week. we ll be focusing on the big issues and factors that will decide the race in november. barack obama made history four years ago and elected the first african-american president having campaigned on the platform of hope and change. and now, many people are hoping there is a change, but, what are the factors that would cause an incumbent president to lose a bid for reelection. in the past 40 years, gerald ford, jimmy carter, george h.w. bush whose their reelection bids, but bill clinton, ronald reagan and george w. bush were reelected we found out that in order for barack obama to get a second term, he has to win in certain districts and win over voters of special interest in specific demographic roots,