RBI MPC Meet 2024 Live Updates: Inflation is likely to increase moderately to 5.2 percent year-on-year (YoY) in March when compared to 5.1 percent in February, wrote the analysts. They forecast 5.2 percent headline inflation for Q1CY24, driven by food inflation. The analysts expect the central bank to take comfort from declining core inflation but remain cautious given upside risks to food inflation from weather shocks, and repricing of the Fed funds rate easing path.
Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy: The RBI today left inflation estimate for fiscal 2025 unchanged at 4.5% amid rising concerns over soaring crude oil prices and supply chain disruptions due to the Red Sea crisis. Food inflation remains a concern after it climbed to 8.7% in February, driving overall inflation, while Brent and WTI futures have now surged on geopolitical tensions.
Less negative will be a very good positive for the market, which is why a lot of people will look at the fine print, said DSP s Investment Strategist Souvik Saha. That will give a very clear indication of what the RBI is actually thinking and what are the probable steps it is planning, he added
The current repo rate is 6.50%, which was last updated on February 8, 2023. Since then the RBI decided to keep the rate unchanged. The last time the repo rate was changed from 6.25% to 6.50% in February 2023.