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Nevada, you have to give the republicans an advantage because they have been ahead in virtually every poll so far with almost no exception. scott, is the same thing true in another critical state that both sides are watching, west virginia? you know, west virginia is a key race, partly because we will learn about it early in the evening. and the basic story line there is that joe mansion, the democrat, is very popular, but president obama is very unpopular in the state. if john raese comes from behind and pulls it off, it s likely the democrats will get control of the senate. if john racy wins you are saying it is likely the republicans will get control of the senate? that s right right. the republic likely to end up about 48, 49 seats. if raese wins, that s a seat we don t expect him to get at the moment, that means a turnout is stronger for the republican side, and it gives you the confidence they might win a race ....