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Bill: vin scully would know, right? that is dodger stadium friday night, when a magnitude 5.1 quake shook the greater l.a. area. it was strongest to strike the region in more than six years. this like scenes from a bowling alley as people are tuck ducking for cover as bowling pins went flying. ceiling tiles, pins scattered down the lanes. there was a grumbling, groaning noise heard throughout the building. bill: no series injuries but experts have a sobering thought today, saying that the same little-known fault could produce a bigger quake in the very near future, worse than the big one we ve been hearing about for decades. we have a seismologist at at university of california davis. good morning to you, sir. good morning. bill: in sacramento. you look at things. you try, you try and predict based on the rumbling. we watched over the past seven to 10 days. is that an indicator for a ....
Bill: if that is the case, does that give experts like yourself, does that give you greater pause or concern because it s been so quiet? earthquakes cluster in time. earthquakes are random events somewhat like market crashes and they cluster in time and just because you have a cluster of large events doesn t necessarily mean that you know, that there is going to be, there is not going to be one afterwards or there is going to be one afterwards. it is a random event. bill: this was centered in la habre, northeast of l.a. and along the punta hills thrust fault. that is not part of the san andreas fault which a lot of people in rest of the country associate big earthquakes with. you say the hills fault, that could be deadlier and costlier? because it is closer to downtown los angeles. san andreas fault runs 30 miles to the north and west of downtown l.a. so a major ....
Person like you to say, that we are on the verge of a much bigger shake? well, of course it could be. you can t discount that but the standard statistic that we quote for an earthquake like that there is 5% chance of something bigger coming within a week or so. now, that earthquake fault, the pent at that hills fault that that fault eventually occurred on has been only known for a few years. we do know it was the source of 1987 whittier narrows earthquake. that runs from brea and la habra, toward downtown l.a. and probably one of the most damaging or dangerous fault west know about in the l.a. area. bill: how come? because it runs right under downtown. there is very little surface expression and we know very little about frequency on of earthquakes on that fault. bill: 5% chance of indicator, five to 10%, that s it? within a week. ....