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Those voters who may be voting on name recognition, do they go away in significant numbers the closer you get to an election? yeah, chris, you know, historically third-party candidates often end up polling a lot better than they perform at the ballot box because people when they re taking a poll say, hey, i m not satisfied with any of these kind of candidates. this person i m going to support because they re the place holder, but getting that person to go and cast a ballot for a third-party candidate is a whole different thing. one way to actually look at this 2024 presidential race, it is a rematch between president biden and donald trump, but it s not necessarily a replay because in 2020, the size of the third-party vote was just about 2%. it s going to be higher than that, even if rfk jr. ends up doing worse in the polls, and there s always been this thought that the higher the third-party vote, the more it actually ends up hurting president biden because of the fact that donald ....
And, of course, he was very busy man at the time so he overlooked this. so that is primarily what i would do if i was his defense counsel, trying to get clouded up and get the jury to be sympathetic to him. and i know, david, you re getting a hint on how the american public is responding to these legal issues right now. some new polls? there was a new abc ipsos poll that was a snap poll of a two-day period in the immediate aftermath of this indictment being revealed and take a look. whether or not americans believe the charges here are serious, 65% in this poll say that the charges in this case are serious. efforts to overturn the 2020 elections, more so than say that about the classified documents case at 61% or the hush money payment case, 52%. also whether or not the efforts to overturn the 2020 election were serious. i want you to look at this by party and you ll see some differences here. you note that 65% is what ....
41% of the approval rating, and this is where it is all year, and we have a uptick of where it has performed in the mterm, but i want you to understand something about the 41%, and when you are comparing to where it is with the modern era of the predecessors, and ronald reagan is the outlier, and he was down and turned it around, but he is down where below trump, and down there in the doldrums of jimmy carter. so it is not the number of the re-elected, but the economic perceptions of the country are also really bad. 25% say that the economy is good, and 75% say it is bad. 51% of americans in this new poll say that the economy is actually still getting worse. that it is in a downward spiral and still getting worse despite the economic indicators that we have heard about. and this is a challenge for ....
Numbers coming out, and will a criminal trial of trump have an impact on the numbers? with the way that things are going with regard to public opinion, the impact could be not in the direction of truth and not in the direction of of which that is really scary. i agree with erin and david when i read those numbers, because it is one thing for republicans who we have been watching, because the electorate is engaged in who should be the republican presidential nominee, and one thing for them to kind of put their team jersey on and say, i m going to go with the guy who was in the white house and telling us it is all about us and him and all of the messaging that you are hearing from donald trump. it is another thing for the overall electorate, and nearly 6 in 10 americans in this poll say that they do not necessarily ....
And i m interested in saying hearing what you have to say. i love your post on it. and i agree, there is a certain amount of drafting aspect to this, although what i think is being lost in all this is that while these are the candidates that are drafting behind christie, he will organize it. in states like organize new hampshire it doesn t matter what the poll say, you can win. and so, is he giving others the permission structure to follow suit? he s giving it to them, but it remains to be seen whether they will take it or not. i think what chris christie understands about his races that donald trump is the front runner in this race, our race with a quasi-incumbent is always going to be about that candidate. if you are making an argument for, you have to be the nominee, you have to make an argument for why don trump should not be the nominee, because that and it s even more true when it is donald trump, who is very interesting, who is very media savvy and who is willing to sa ....