early to count romney out here. he has probably one of the strongest organizations in the state. the campaign has been working hard. they have been managing the expectation well here. it looks like speaker gingrich plateaued at this point hecht does not have the underbelly of support from the organization, the army of people that some of the other candidates do, which is why his performance here tonight is really important. bret: what about the possibility. romney win in iowa would shake up the whole thing. it would. conventionm wisdom he will do well in new hampshire. that is likely to be the case. a win in iowa and convincing win in new hampshire, maybe this wouldn t be the chaotic post debate primary process we thought we d see. bret: on the issue of entitlement reform. it became an issue over recent days. number of candidates go after newt gingrich her his lack of support and paul ryan original