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Off a lot of the more conservative voters of that state. if you are joe manchin, or you are heidi heitkamp, there are poles coming out of those states that have kavanaugh after the hearing at plus 30, plus 35. i think unless something really significant comes out of the fbi investigation, you are going to see one or both of them vote yes. before the fbi investigation was completed, support for judge kavanaugh drop to such a record low, the most unpopular nominee since judge bork. let me also make the point that many of these days among independents and women, importance when votes, they are not only walking away from judge kavanaugh and opposed to his nomination, they are walking away from donald trump and what he represents. martha: we are talking very specific midterm politics. guy makes a great point. you are talking about a national poll on kavanaugh and he is saying in the states no, martha, let me finish my point martha: in north dakota, west virginia let me finis ....
Here this morning. you know as well as we do whenever we see big storms like this there are always people who decide they are stronger than the storm and decide to stay, don t listen to the warnings, what is your message for them? same as yours, time to leave. anyone thinking they can ride this out this may well be the strongest storm that ever hit our coast. it may not be. one of the things we know is you can t predict these things. you always absolutely have to prepare for the worst. rob: talking about this storm potentially stalling out right before the art comes ashore. somewhere around south carolina, north carolina, major storm surge, this could be a big water event. what did several feet of storm surge plus 30 inches of rain leave you within north carolina? obviously we have low-lying areas around the coast as most people do but they go far inland as well with water tributaries ....
Out there trying to sort of poison the jury or do they want him saying absolutely nothing? it depends on how you define competitive. if you re talking about competitive in a plus 20, plus 30 congressional dict, yeah, you ll run with trump all day long because that s largely where the base in the district is, and it doesn t matter the democratic opposition that may come. you still have you have the cushion, if you will, to withstand whatever they do or however they try to nationalize the election. in fact, you will likely nationalize the election yourself. you know, if you re talking about something where it s a little closer, it s a different conversation. if you re in a plus-three, plus-five congressional district, you are going to walk a little differently. you re not necessarily going to nationalize it. you re going do keep it local and you don t want to necessarily bring the president s problems into your district because, like we see in a number of states, including ohio, that ....
Members who are left are going to be in districts that are plus 25% plus 30% plus 33% trump. it will harden the resolve of the party and its faithful to trump not away from him. as the republican party is wrinking, as people like me are leaving, fervor for leader is intensifying but the strategic problem is that it s getting smaller. the smaller the party becomes, the more intense, the more extreme the more devoted to its leader but it s on a diminishing point of return on the curve. and that s trump s fundamental strategic problem heading into 2020 is that overwhelmingly, the vast majority of americans don t think he s doing a good job, think he s a bad president. think he s compromised by a foreign power, think he s dishonest which he is, of course, think he s corrupt, which he is, of course, and thinks he s lawless, which, of ....