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Freedom. those are not policy action items. those are just hopes. it s not enough to there s not enough meat there on the bone. laura, when you peal back the polling data, it was young voters that gave the democrats the advantage. of all of the age groups, it was genz who delivered for the democrats. i m not making this up. they mostly live with their parents. they voted 6 % of them for democrats, that s plus 28 points for the democratic party. and may have blunted the red wave that came from other groups. laura: i think a lot of the younger people, you know, the lockdown wasn t maybe so bad, right? for them? they got to hmm. laura: got to order uber eats and catch up on the netflix and get their checks. the democrats were also very deliberate in their pitch to young people. they offered them drugs, recreational drugs, abortion, ....
Election but putting in a bunch of bs republican polls, bs slanted polls, and we kept saying, and the people kept saying, this doesn t feel like a normal wave year. it could be. it should be. you look at inflation. you look at people saying it should be a wave year. it never felt like one to us here. yeah, should was the operative word there. by historical trends we bored people to death with the number but the plus 28 is the average in the last 90 years of what the out party picks up in the house. it s going to be a small handful. they were talking three nights ago, republicans were saying is it going to be 30, 40, 50 seats, how historic is it going to be. inflation as you mentioned, a president, joe biden they thought was weak. they thought they had crime going for them, immigration crisis, everything you fold into the number. it did not materialize, and it can t all be terrible candidates. they had a handful of those for ....
Freedom. those are not policy action items. those are just hopes. it s not enough to there s not enough meat there on the bone. laura, when you peal back the polling data, it was young voters that gave the democrats the advantage. of all of the age groups, it was genz who delivered for the democrats. i m not making this up. they mostly live with their parents. they voted 6 % of them for democrats, that s plus 28 points for the democratic party. and may have blunted the red wave that came from other groups. laura: i think a lot of the younger people, you know, the lockdown wasn t maybe so bad, right? for them? they got to hmm. laura: got to order uber eats and catch up on the netflix and get their checks. the democrats were also very deliberate in their pitch to young people. they offered them drugs, recreational drugs, abortion, ....
There, trump 33%, recall a fraction of a point lower. recall probably needs to be in high 40s in santa barbara to be succeeding. monterey, what happened? donald trump had 28%, recall is running exactly where trump ran with 2/3 of the vote in. monterey last november. same group was counted last november, donald trump running at 25%, then counted more republican friendly same day votes, late mail, and it went up to 28.2%. increased three points. if current yes 28% goes up to 31%, where does it need to be? 16 plus 28, about 44%. it s on course right now based on the history and what we know about the turnout patterns, to ....
now back to democratic strategist joe trippi saying the energy could backfire. republican women started to move to us, younger republicans started to move to us, and the intensity among democrats didn t diminish. in fact, over time, kept building and building. trump s creating all of it. right? he s creating that energy among the base. at the same time, he s creating enough chaos and divisiveness that republicans who would never ordinarily vote for a democrat, i ll vote for somebody who wants to try to find common ground and get things done for me even if they re a democrat. and trust me. a lot of people in alabama had to do that. right? that s, i think, a winning message in a lot of these swing districts. there aren t that many swing districts that are plus 28 trump out there. i m joined by larry sabato of university of virginia center for politics and james peterson at lehigh university and host of the podcast the remix and a msnbc contributor. james peterson, remix the facts f ....