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The best returns in a decade, but how long can the rally continue . We begin with the big issue, markets betting low rates are here to stay in 2020. It is hard to see the yield breakout from here. Bond yields moving sideways. We cant generate any inflation right now. Still attractive but certainly not breaking out. 1. 20 by the end of the year. If we get to 1. 2 on the 10 year, we are looking at a global recession. We are going to test 1 . A lot of things have to be going incredibly wrong to get to 1 . Unless the market begins to price in additional cuts, the 10 year, at most, will drop down to the 1. 60 range. The fed will probably not cut again. If there is any weakness in the data, you will see an outsized rally in bonds. The path to least resistance has been lower, and i see no reason to see that change in 2020. Taylor can we break out of the range set in 2019 . Joining us from new york are collin martin, peter tchir of academy securities, and in pasadena, john bellows. I want to g ....
Corporate bonds on track for the best returns in a decade, but how long can the rally continue . We begin with the big issue, markets betting low rates are here to stay in 2020. It is hard to see the yield breakout from here. Bond yields moving sideways. We cant generate any inflation right now. Still attractive but certainly not breaking out. 1. 20 by the end of the year. If we get to 1. 2 on the 10 year, we are looking at a global recession. We are going to test 1 . A lot of things have to be go incredibly wrong to get to 1 . Unless the market begins to price in additional cuts, the 10 year, at most, will drop down to the 1. 60 range. The fed will probably not cut again. If there is any weakness in the data, you will see an outsized rally in bonds. The path to least resistance has been lower, and i see no reason to think that will change in 2020. Taylor can we break out of the range set in 2019 . Joining us from new york are collin martin, peter tchir of academy securities, and in pa ....
Of ubs investment banking. Kaiser of ubs investment bank. Anything stood out to you so far . This is pretty much as expected. The key is to emphasize there is uncertainty, even though we have the emphatic conservative victory in the election, and we know that brexit is going to happen. Theres still uncertainty about what kind of brexit, and short for the bank of england, we dont know what the fiscal policies of this government will be. There is a little bit of stimulus built into their servitors manifesto which was not taken into account in the current bank of england forecast , but they have room to do a great deal more. If you have a budget in the next months from the conservatives which primes the me, has a lot of stem it economy, that has changes the outlook. Those seven who voted against change probably had that in mind. Alix are you trading cable at all . Stuart todays decision is pretty much in line with expectations. I think the view is the first half of the year you get the or ....
Corporate bonds on track for the best returns in a decade, but surprising rebound. How long can the rally continue . Taylor the dallas fed president Robert Kaplan weighed in on the credit market, telling bloomberg we begin with the big issue, tv those tighter spreads might markets betting low rates are be cause for concern. Here to stay in 2020. B and bb credit spreads are it is hard to see the yield so tight. Bbb spreads are very tight. Break out from here. If i see the market is bond yields moving sideways. Distinguishing between lower quality credits and better trapped in this range. We cant generate any inflation right now. Credits, i think that is an it should eventually be a encouraging sign. My bigger worry is you have got good year for bronz bonds. Increasing pe, historically low still attractive but cap rates, tight credit spreads, certainly not breaking out. 1. 20 by the end of the year. And im just keeping a close eye if ....
Sconces willt of break records in sales. Sonali basak, natalie wong and lisa lee. Lets begin with sonali. There is a question of who will finance this company and as softbank takes control. Goldman sachs trying to get a loan deal done but there is something unique. Please explain. Sonali softbank said we work as the coborrower here. Softbank and we work had become intertwined since they got into this deal. Softbank has been emerging as somebody that banks want to work with, despite the troubles that have happened, they are seeing portfolio companies, something they have a big Portfolio Company. Something to look out for next year is doordash. Also a Portfolio Company in the vision fund, working with j. P. Morgan for a Credit Facility here. Lisa softbank is listed as the main borrower. They are putting their own mo ....