I m michael smerconish in philadelphia. Think about it one month ago today. Donald trump looked invincible he d had a successful debate against president biden, survived an assassination attempt. He was presiding over a unified and wellchoreographed republican convention in wisconsin and all the polls were in his favor a new york times sienna poll found that trump was leading biden in five of six battleground states james carville earned the wrath of some in his party when he wrote in the new york times, the jig is up and the sooner mr. Biden and democratic leaders accept this, the better we need to move forward. David axelrod said that biden was more likely to lose in a landslide, then when it all for three nights, trump sat pensively speaking little and watching the rnc when he s spoken the final night, victory seemed assured and then came kamala harris and trump reverted to the mean the real mean. He called the vice president a bum said that she was evil, called her crazy, stupid an
thursday, who knows. let s take a look at some of the key states that will be voting and ultimately determine the shape of congress. let s start out in arizona. a state that took days to project the 2020 presidential winner. interestingly in arizona, the later ballots were good for the gop in 2020, which was a reversal of what happened in 2018. and this one they re going to be talking about. some states, later ballots are related to gop. and some states are good for the democrats. let s go to one of those states where it s better for the democrats in 2020 and 2021. you may remember there was in fact a 2021 senate runoff in georgia. and it was not determined who won those runoffs, and told the wednesday after the election. so it took a long time to count. it took even longer that general election back in november of 2020. here, the later counted ballots were good for the democrats in 2021, and in 2020. remember biden keeps getting gaining gaining. then ultimately biden over to
Things in many respects as she is on election denial. , she s got great candidates skills and she s probably going to prevail. the interesting thing about kari lake katie hobbs is we have people who are starting to be the election the dire, obviously, kari lake. i get someone whose job it was to certify the election. the election guru. you ve had these races so it s almost like an idea of maybe it s not a debate. but about these very issues. and i wonder, how much that will impact the voters of arizona? the idea of a abating notion of xi won t even debate. what was him aqua to dignify her with the debate. others would say they are afraid. we wonder how the voters will feel that. you just never know. obviously, you ve seen cases where people, there people pennsylvania who think that john fetterman shouldn t have debated oz at all. that avoids the bait who had been better off. it s impossible to know whether katie hobbs or benefit or not?