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Should I Stay or Should I Go?

It’s graduation time, and Chinese graduates from American colleges are now pondering what to do next: return to China or stay in the U.S. We reached out to recent graduates to ask about their decision-making process and how they view their prospects at home and abroad. ....

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When Will The Fed Begin Tapering: Here's What 10 Wall Street Strategists Think


by Tyler Durden
Monday, Apr 26, 2021 - 02:59 PM
When it comes to the Fed s Wednesday FOMC statement, economists agree that this meeting should largely serve as a status check of the economic recovery relative to the substantial forecast upgrades that the FOMC unveiled at their March meeting, but things will then heat up in the summer and certainly the fall, when Powell may have no choice but to address the roaring inflation and - gasp - even hint at a taper, risking another bond (and stock) market tantrum.
In any event, after the Bank of Canada became the taper trial balloon when it said last week it would scale back its purchases of government debt and accelerate the timetable for a possible rate increase, the Fed is expected to begin trimming its $120 billion in monthly asset purchases before the end of the year as the US  economy recovers strongly from Covid-19, according to economists surveyed by Bloomberg. That’s a bit earlier than forecast in the March surv ....

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Treasuries Bear Frenzy Was the Biggest on Record Last Week

(Bloomberg) Bond bearishness hit a record level last week as investors piled into short bets on Treasuries.An aggregate gauge of the change in net non-commercial positions across the Treasuries futures curve dropped by the most on in record, according to the latest Commodity Futures Trading Commission data. The change was equivalent to $45 billion in benchmark Treasuries net short positions, according to TD Securities strategist Penglu Zhao.“Specs piled into shorts across the curve last week as the market became agitated on Fed tapering and early hiking risks,” Zhao wrote Friday. “Dealers and levered funds were net buyers, while asset managers and other investors are net sellers.”Bond Traders Go All-In on U.S. Treasury Market’s Big Short BetBenchmark 10-year Treasury yields touched 1.62% Friday the highest since February 2020 before pulling back. Bearish traders became emboldened after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell underwhelmed investor ....

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TREASURIES OUTLOOK-U.S. yields climb as reflation theme persists


TD Securities says yields could go beyond fair value
U.S. 10-year overnight rate in repo market still negative (Repeats to additional subscribers without any changes to text)
NEW YORK, March 8 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury yields advanced on Monday, with the belly of the curve leading the way, as investors continued to price in higher inflation and more upbeat prospects for the U.S. economy as it emerges from the coronavirus pandemic.
The U.S. 5-year and 7-year note yields were up between five to six basis points, while that of the benchmark 10-year note hit a nearly 13-month high. ....

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