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What Do Belarusians Think About the War?

Belarus’s President Alyaksandr Lukashenka and his analysts supporting and protesting the war (the latter are mainly outside Belarus) contribute to our nuanced understanding of the situation. Thus, on March 15, speaking at a meeting with Belarusian national security officials, Lukashenka both denied and confirmed Belarus’s participation in the war within one minute. “We will not get involved in this operation … ....

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Belarus in Focus Information Office | FROM VAGUE "HARMONIZATION" TO A TRAINING AND COMBAT CENTRE NEAR HRODNA

Belarus in Focus Information Office | FROM VAGUE "HARMONIZATION" TO A TRAINING AND COMBAT CENTRE NEAR HRODNA
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Lukashenka Received An Extremely Terrible Signal From Putin and Macron

The dictator finally became a bargaining chip. ....

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Kazakhstan, Fertilizer and Belarus's Political Crisis

Since the start of 2022, two unexpected “black swan” events have indirectly altered last year’s calculus regarding the expected evolution of the Belarusian political crisis. First, Belarus joined the Russia-led Collective Security Treaty Organization’s (CSTO) intervention in Kazakhstan on January 5, 2022. Second, Belarusian potassium exports to Western fertilizer producers are coming to a halt under current sanctions. Taken together, … ....

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Belarusian Political Crisis: Untenable Risks and Achievable Goals

According to Poland’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs, from June 2020 to the end of July 2021, Polish consulates issued a total of 178,711 visas for Belarusians, of which 12,190 were so-called humanitarian visas, used by de facto political refugees. For comparison, during 2019, Poland issued 358,421 visas to citizens of Belarus, of which only 7 were humanitarian (Polskie Radio, August … ....

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