Again. Senate Majority Leader Mitch Mcconnell failing to concede the election to joe biden just yet. The fed put out a warning on asset prices. The rally to a two month high. Since the highest levels 2018. The index at a record high. So much to really chew over. Joe such a wild start to the week of course. Digesting the election, the light at the end of the tunnel. Here is a chart. It is a number. But here is a pair. This is one of the favorite pairs of neil over at renaissance macro. To bike atot need home. There you see the entire story of the day, those two numbers. Romaine someone else made this for us, about vacation time. A big part of enthusiasm today is that we will finally all get out of the house and go back out to restaurants and, more importantly, to travel. The Consumer Confidence index tracks intended vacation. You can see that basically dropped off a cliff. Still has a pretty long way to go. I thought this was interesting. Earlier on this up the other show that we host w
Before the first tuesday of november. From london, new york, on radio and television worldwide, we are thrilled you are with us. There is market turmoil. Futures terrible earlier, now doing better. We are going to talk really interesting dynamics of the depths of the market, which is foreign exchange. We will do that in a minute. Got to look at a president who launched 10 tweets last night somewhere in the vicinity of 2 00 a. M. The president says, watch the great red wave, and that goes to his hope on tuesday. Jonathan and wasnt that the perfect gdp print to take on the campaign trail . Heres the number. Dont mention it is annualized and how big it is. Is it too late to make a difference, given how maybe will given how many have already voted in this election . The difference this time around. S much wider than we have seen at the end of the election, it in a two point lead clintons favor. On the focus of the morning november 4. Somewednesday we will have special coverage for you, but
This fund in times of turbulence. We saw them withdrawing as markets calmed. Traders tell me this is usually a cash parking vehicle. Sarah i have been keeping an rates, or theven spread between nomination yields and those on similar maturity. Really all month long, we have seen them moving lower. 10year and 30 year, we have seen them fall the most this month than any other month this year. I spoke with the head of u. S. Ate strategy over a ups ubs. He said they are following along with the story and equities and oil, also saying it is setting a similar message as to the inverted yield curve. Lisa thank you so much. Andl with us, dances of the dan suzuki and luke kawa. I want to pick up on a notable theme. I wonder what your take is, that even though the Federal Reserve is expected to cut rates by 23 more times this year, it seems to be ineffective in getting the yield curve to steepen. What is the message . Dan i think the messages that things are slowing down. Theres a lot being made
General Public Perception of economic growth, and the like. Romaine we saw it about two points off the alltime high. The dow jones also up 0. 3 . The nasdaq, 100. Scarlet we should mention as well let the russell 2000 did end up with gains, but has been a laggard. 10 below its record high, reached last august. Romaine dow transport is down a half percent as well, so another sector you tend to want to see join the party. Lets dive deeper into the market action. Abigail, get us started. Abigail the s p 500 almost closing at a record high, that during the day putting in on alltime high. Is 3000 a psychologically important level, or is it important for the technicals . We will tune into that at work 40. Lets look at the chart we have looked at since the beginning of june. He goes back to december of 2017 area there is a huge range. The bulls and the heirs bears are really duking it out. The s p 500 seems to be moving into this pattern, suggesting the s p 500 is confirmed for well above 300
Failing to complete safety recalls. The carmaker will now be monitored. Welcome, good morning. Im caroline hyde. He has some breaking news from ubs the bank is publishing secondquarter results early. Lets get out to ryan, at the breaking news desk. Ryan 1. 21 billion is the net income, 53 from what they did last year. Thats better than what analysts were expecting. They expected something closer to 900 million, and the reason is private Wealth Management. Sergio armani issued triumphant earnings today, saying he was very pleased with how things were going. They cut costs and obviously revenue is coming in well. Capital rates shows the company staying above target 14. 4 . These numbers came out earnings came out over the weekend in the swiss newspaper and it left a lot of people confused. Ubs this morning said it also misled people and that is why they moved their earnings up. It is kicking off a very busy week for the bank. Caroline thank you very much. More breaking news lets kick it