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Muqtada al-Sadr, a Shia cleric whose Mahdi Army followers battled U.S. forces during the years of the occupation, made big gains in Iraq’s parliamentary election on October 10. His victory could pose problems for the United States and Iran. But despite the Sadrist List’s electoral success, it is not a given that al-Sadr will be the next man to lead Iraq, or even be the only kingmaker. USIP’s Elie Abouaoun examines the outcome of the election, the electoral process and the implications for Iraq’s future.

United statesAmmar al hakeemHaider al abadiMuhammad al halbousi taqaddumKhamis al khanjarAlliance of national statePopular mobilizationHigh electoral commissionParliamentary azm allianceMassoud barzani kurdistan democratic partyPatriotic union of kurdistanSadrist listNational state forcesIraqi prime minister haiderIndependent high electoral commissionPrime minister nouri