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Florida, in north carolina, in virginia. i would guess in wisconsin, probably in iowa. arizona. nevada, arizona. colorado. yes. i mean, early voting is going to have a huge impact. overall thought on the polls also, and nate silver touched on it in the times about the knee-jerk reaction. we overreact to everything in the polls. i think as every four years go by and as the media the 24/7 onslaught what i ll call overreaction media to everything i think is going to always heighten every move at this point. so to me, as we go through history going forward, i think polls on a week-to-week basis are going to be less and less dependable because, for instance, if you go back 20, 30 years ago, you d watch a debate and the polls would shift based on it. now we watch a debate and it s the next 24, 48 hours of the churning of the debate. so i think everything gets heightened, and i think polls overreact in each direction. yeah. net-net, i think there s got to i think every pol ....

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