we have five months until election day. now every poll that comes out we know it s me particular alsoly dissected as we all try to analyze where the momentum is. this time around we have seen trump looking strong in poll after poll. but, a few recent surveys including one from us here at fox, shows the race tighter and it triggered some wishful thinking syndrome in some corridors. big shift among independent voters could signal some new momentum for president biden. every poll suggests a tight race. this one shows a little momentum, perhaps. probably than biden has had in really months. it underscores that the biden campaign theory of the case here is which is that as people started to dial in they would find trump less and less appealing. laura: before they start making plans for the second biden inaugural, let s break this down and look at things in some context here. now, first, even with the latest polls, factored in, trump is still leading in the national rcp a