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Lot of that along this portion of marshy coastal florida. there s a lot of communities. if this had cut in closeer to the tampa bay metro area, this is going to impact a lot of people that s 1.6. jane: uh-hmm. ian: multiply much by 10 and we still have a bit of an offshore push of wind and you mentioned how cedar key could just jut out eventually we re going to see winds go like this and it all starts to happen. ian: if you can kind of eyeball it with this counter clockwise swirl, there s and we mentioned how this is start to go to have more of an easterly component and if it moves on shore, which is 9 forecast from the nhc, that s the point. this is several hours from now where we get that big push of water into places like levy county. jane: and this, too, happening potentially as the ....
and this is an iryeah that s geographically that water piles uhm more quickly. the shape of the coastline is like a mitt. it catches the water being pushed in but still, it s a south wind going into cedar key, which is in levy county in through here. it s not even truly perpendicular here and not a push of water and that reasonable worst case scenario for these portions of the eastern big bend inn of the nature coast is few 16 feet of surge and that was the concern earlier where we had the tampa bay metro area in the mix. this will ab catastrophic surge further up the coastline. still a significant water ride that we ve been tracking and a threat for the tampa bay area will be there tomorrow afternoon, which was already outside after major hurricane expected to be one of the highest high tides of the entire year, of all of 2023 because of the supermoon and the big push ....
Aqua fence, the developer there designing those to withstand several feet of water and actually get stronger as the water rises, kind of creating more of a force at the pressure as the pressure from the water builds up, so that s a really good sign that they ve taken this threat as seriously as they have and put in the correct tools and resources to keep this place save safe, but as we mentioned, this is sort of just the beginning of the surge that we re seeing and as we re watching let wind sort of push against the bay here tit s tossing all that water up and over here, creating sort of a pool effect. here, i ll step over here because you ll notice there are certain areas that are a the bit more low lying than others where you can sort of see that just beginning. it may not look as much and it depends where you re standing just how low to the ground, guys, but this is really an example of what is to come throughout the morning, guys. jane: now, idalia, a major category three s ....
Jane and the public advisories. these are just position, strength and pace and that s very important as we get closer to landfall. jane: well, yeah, i think it tells us a lot of the stories on when we need to be ready to go because like we have seen in the last cop you feel hours, these advisories, there have been a couple of jumps not only in intensity but in speed. the storm was racing at a 20 mile-per-hour clip and now we re down to about 15 mile-per-hour and that slower pace and that movement is important as we approach landfall. but, too, i mean, take a look at cedar key here. we ve been watching this camera all night long. the road now completely taking on water as these waves in the ocean quite literally has begun to displace it as it just gets roughed up. this just the high tide, really, some push of the wind but that not that direct storm surge impact that s still to come. ian: this will only get worse and worse and worse, jane and we keep checking in on the ....
we re here because we re tracking a dangerous storm out in the gulf of mexico that s expended to be a category four when it arrives on florida s coastline call it somewhere around 8:00 am. jane: yeah, i think it s going to happen a lot sooner than people that people realize coming up at the start of the day. we ve got fox weather chief meteorologist bob but first here in cedar key, florida, where this camera continues to get worse et every time we look at it. the rough chop of these waves slams up on the surface of the rails and storm surge going a intensify and as that wind shifts and the push of the storm heads back into the big bend and cedar key already seeing that push of the wind at really high tide nearing two feet of a surge. this isth expected to potentially be upwards of 16 feet we re going to have to see howe things shape up especially down the coast. ian: yeah, jane that we talked a lot about the problems here. ....