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Mali: Terrifying Trends



March 17, 2021:
Mali and neighbors Burkina Faso and Niger have become the epicenter of Islamic terrorist violence since 2016. These three nations suffered over 4,000 such deaths in 2019 compared to a total of 770 during the three previous years. In 2020 the violence levels diminished a bit because of increased French-led counter-terrorism efforts. This resulted in the deaths of several key Islamic terror group leaders. This reduced the effectiveness of some Islamic terror groups until the leaders could be adequately replaced. Many of the Islamic terror groups in this region are very dependent on a few key leaders. Feuds and power struggles are a common problem within Islamic terror groups and the French have learned how to exploit that. ....

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Counter-Terrorism: The Islamic State In Africa



March 12, 2021:
Over the last four years most Islamic terrorist violence has shifted to Africa. Currently the worldwide top-ten nations suffering terrorism-related deaths are; Afghanistan, Iraq, Nigeria, Syria, Pakistan, Somalia, India, Yemen, Philippines, and Congo. Some nations suffer more from non-Islamic violence. These include India, Philippines, Yemen and Congo, which all have Islamic terrorism but that accounts for a minority of terrorism-related deaths. Nigeria would as well except that many of its non-Islamic terrorist deaths are from Moslems attacking fellow Moslems for purely economic reasons. Despite that, in 2018 worldwide terrorism deaths declined 15 percent to 15,952. In 2019 there were 13,826 deaths and the decline continued into 2020. This decline is, so far, a five-year trend. Even Syria has experienced fewer deaths in the last few years. Egypt saw an even more dramatic 90 percent decline in 2018 and that decline has c ....

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Mali: Europe Gets A Clue



February 17, 2021:
The viability of the Mali government is not threatened by Islamic terrorism, but by ethnic and tribal divisions that are common throughout Africa. It is not African politics that persuades European governments to spend billions a year on counterterrorism operations in Mali and neighboring states. That is justified by the impact on Islamic terror groups that continue to try and organize major terror attacks in Europe. Making a permanent improvement in how Mali is run is not a major goal. The Mali government is still corrupt and not likely to change until local politicians realize that clean government is in everyone’s best interests. The black majority in Mali still dominates the government and is still not willing to grant the autonomy Tuaregs and Arabs in the north want. These problems of tribalism and ethnic strife have been around for thousands of years and getting Africa to catch up with the Eurasian nations has been slow ....

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Mali: The Good, The Bad And The Deadly



January 18, 2021:
The five-month-old
interim government has a new problem; the recent loss of
Soumaila Cissé,
the popular and long-time opposition politician favored to win the next presidential election in 2022. The 71-year-old
Cissé died from covid19 in late December. Now the interim Mali government has to take a closer look at other possible winners of the 2022 election.
The
August 2020 coup ejected a corrupt president but failed to establish a military government. Instead, the CNT
(National Transitional Council),
an interim (temporary) government was organized, at the insistence of local politicians and major foreign aid donors. The CNT has until March 2022 to organize new elections and disappear. The ....

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