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speeches in each precinct before the caucus goers vote for their candidate of choice. in a secret ballot. no early voting. no absentee voting. no veil in voting in this instance. the process can take a little while, but this, year could be the coldest iowa caucus ever. current forecast for monday night include record sub-zero temperatures, which, of course, could affect turnout. at this point, a force of nature might be the only thing that could prevent donald trump from winning the state. the latest poll of iowa conducted by suffolk university earlier this month shows the former president leading the pack with 54% of likely republican caucus goers saying they plan to support him. his closest rival, nikki haley, is 34 points behind. a 20%. if these numbers hold, trump has the opportunity to smash the record for the largest margin of victory in iowa gop history for a non incumbents. that s a record currently held by bob dole, who won the 1988 caucuses by 13 points. over ....
hi, everyone. i m alicia menendez in for nicolle wallace. it is 4:00 in new york. 11:00 p.m. in israel and gaza, where we may be on the verge of a breakthrough in the unprecedented hostage situation on the ground there. sources tell nbc news that a tentative deal has been reached for release of some of the hostages held by hamas. a spokesperson for the israeli military cautioning in the last few hours that there is no final deal yet, but that there is, quote, some progress. the israeli cabinet meeting to discuss the issue at this hour. here are the terms as it stands right now. this is according to a senior u.s. official. 50 women and children would be traded for 150 palestinian prisoners in israeli custody. there would also be a pause in the fighting for four days to allow for more rounds of hostages exchanges and for more humanitarian aid to enter gaza. up to 300 to 400 trucks per day. overall, the deal adds up to what u.s. officials are calling the most significant d ....