As Russia's full-scale war against Ukraine rages on, the stability of neighboring Belarus, which has been backing Russia's aggression, appears to be fracturing. Has Russian President Vladimir Putin's war of aggression opened a Pandora's box for a regime that is practically a remote wing of the Kremlin? Recall that, in Belarus' presidential election in August 2020, Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya almost certainly defeated the incumbent Alexander Lukashenko, whose minions had dismissed his opponent as a "housewife."
(Fixes typo ‘Russian’ to ‘Russia’ in paragraph 3) AMSTERDAM (Reuters) – The Belarusian government has allegedly taken part in the illegal deportation of children from Russian-occupied territories of Ukraine, exiled Belarusian opposition leaders said in a preliminary report. The National Anti-Crisis Management, a group of political opponents to the government of President Alexander Lukashenko, said…
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, December 31, 2023
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Nicole Wolkov, Christina Harward, Karolina Hird, Riley Bailey, and Frederick W. Kagan
December 31, 2023, 5:10pm ET
Note: ISW and CTP will not publish a campaign
Belarusian dictator Alexander Lukashenko claims the transfer of Russian tactical nuclear warheads to Belarus was completed in October 2023. The Belarusian parliament has approved a bill to give immunity to the ex-president, ensuring he cannot be prosecuted for actions taken during his tenure, thereby attempting to grant Lukashenko the possibility of a safe retirement. Exiled Belarusian activist Vadzim Prakopieu has been sentenced in absentia to a second 25-year prison term.
The Belarusian army has grown stronger in terms of combat readiness and equipment, but this does not necessarily translate to additional risks for Ukraine, Belarusian opposition leader Pavel Latushka told Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty on Nov. 2.