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It s because all these counties that are blue have yet to come in. i say that and i m reminding myself of how i felt on the night of 2016 when i was looking at the new york times site and all of a sudden, you know, nate sylvia, they flipped horribly. it is still early, but there s still you missed half the story. what counties are you looking at? so there s a few. of course we re looking alt jefferson county. one of the major figures in this election is a good friend of mine. he took ought on incumbent mayor in alabama. and he s the new refreshing progressive voice in alabama. and he energized jefferson county and a lot of the state. i m starting to believe is a lot of these counties in the northern part and southern part of the state that are roy moore ....
i was thinking about this this weekend. nate sylvia was the super star four years ago and he had a spread sheet and took it and said something like 84.6, right. and so we all said you can t really do that because there s always a ghost in a machine. politics is more art. you can t just reduce it to numbers, right. they said we were anti christ for doing that, right. four years later, he s going to have a win. something s going to happen between now and then. we don t know what it is but suddenly, so i guess this is my question. i was just saying if data was god four years ago and you could coldly and calculatedly look at ....
Right. the most resent and apologizing has been updated since. nate sylvia says his chances are somewhere between 0-20% to get the nomination. maybe that s changed since then. are you serious? yes. based on what data? based on the fact there s so many undecided voters in iowa in part and based on the fact you can t rely on polls at this point. he was six months before not going to barack obama as a 98.4372% chance of we aring a blue tie. if you look at trump s numbers and percentage on it on the sense of his stret formula ....