There are several factors that are at play here, which indicate the plausibility of a BJP victory in this seat. First, anti-incumbency against MP Ram Shiromani is high. Second, the caste equations are favouring the BJP, especially in the absence of a BSP-SP alliance. Third, the increasing approval for the Narendra Modi-Yogi Adityanath double-engine government in Shrawasti. Moreover, the party is backed by three MLAs who have bolstered its campaign