Meanwhile, the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) has moved eastward from the Maritime Continent to the Western Pacific, increasing the likelihood of tropical cyclone formation over the Southern Pacific, they said.
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The circulation over Arabian Sea might make the easterlies stronger and push the inland convergence further west on to the Deccan Plateau. Another scenario is circulation in south BoB below 12N. That can enhance the south west monsoon surge over Kerala. But can that provide for inland convergence over the Deccan Plateau? Not so sure.”
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Beyond that timeframe, the intensity of the surge will wane. Bengaluru is expected to have overcast skies and breezy conditions, with the chance of sporadic light rain across the city. In the same vein, the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has predicted the likelihood of light rain or thundershowers in certain areas, accompanied by intermittently strong surface winds. Meanwhile, the southwest monsoon has maintained its normal trajectory over the state.