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BLOOMBERG Bloomberg Markets Balance Of Power July 12, 2024

Index climbing sharply higher. In the month of august, the cyclicals are leading the way on the year. It is all about tax. It is all about tech. Interesting to see how the month of august plays out. Right now a sleepy summer day. Taylor it does not look like it will be sleepily for much longer. August goes quickly. It is a volatile month. We are in an election year. Abigail it is interesting because there are lots of reasons to think we could have a volatility spike, including the fact we are in the seasonally higher volatility time, august, september, october. The vix curve speaks to a big spike in october. The panic index is at levels close to where it was prior to the selloff in february and the selloff in 2018. The fundamental backdrop for this is despite the fact we have a better initial jobless claim today, which is excellent, but it is still extraordinarily high. It is not even put the financial crisis you cannot see the numbers around the financial crisis relative to where we a ....

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