A tremendous hold on the Republican Party. He has made them believe utter lies about 2020, and he just has a strong emotional connection to those voters and republicans who are running across the ballot know that. So this is i think a real kind of moment for republicans to take away what does this mean for their relationship to trumpism. And in some ways i think theyve already figured that out. And again, i think the critical piece of this is the margin that were seeing here for newsom. Because i think we knew going into the night it was most likely that this was going to be the outcome, but we didnt know it was going to be this significant. And i think the question too, and im hearing im getting emails from both republicans and democrats. Republicans frankly expecting this, a lot of them. But ive had some democrats get in touch to say that while they acknowledge there are a lot of challenges for national democrats, whether theyre related to inflation, the economy, getting the agenda t
Republicans got this on the ballot because of a backlash in the most conservative parts of the state to the stringency of what newsom was punctuated by the hip ok i are cy of him appearing at french laundry. as the year went on, particularly as the delta variant surged and newsom responded with some of the most aggressive policies in the country, mask manned yairts in the schools, vaccine mandates for government employees and health workers he was able to make that the central point of distinction in the race. when elder got in the race as harry said it gave him a foil. but you know, there were a lot of issues where elder is to the right of the state that newsom could have chosen to focus on. he chose to focus on the mandates and kind of following science and not allowing california to go down the path of texas and florida. and i think if nothing else that certainly energized democrats. also from the exits it seemed to work with independent voters. and in that sense i think it is reass
Are some to-do items. even with this huge newsom victory there are some to-do items here for the democratic party. especially in less blue places. you see real concern among voters when it comes to the economy and to the cost of living in your community. inflation as casey was just saying. that s real. and every politician on the ballot in 2022 is going to need to deal with that, acknowledge that, and make sure they don t ignore it. that s one. and the other thing i would just note. we see some of the demographic trends, jake, that he with saw in 2020 still very much at play in this trump, post-trump era, which is that white college-educated voters are going more and more for democrats. we see this in the suburbs throughout the country. this is sort of the definitional thing of american politics at the moment. and we see that here for newsom as well. but as we also saw in 2020, trump made some inroads among latinos, among non-white voters overall but among latinos and
You ve seen the blue fill in. you ve seen the red fill in. we ve been through this drill many times. here s where things stand right now. we ve obviously called this race. the no vote right now at 2.77 million more than the yes vote. remember, this ballot had two questions. you vote no on the recall, you re done. you vote yes, then you have 46 options to replace gavin newsom. clearly gavin newsom and the no vote are winning handily. here s why. i think it s important to dig into these results here. keep in mientd baseline. democrats have an almost 2-1 advantage in registration. so for republicans to have any shot whatsoever they needed independents to break their way, major democratic apathy, and you needed republicans to surge. i want to pick out three counties in particular just to start things off. you start with the biggest county in the state-s, los angeles county. gavin neuse wm a no vote 73% to a 26%. this was a blowout. however, this was an area they hoped there could be? repub
Message we should take out of california is this and that. the fact is, i mean, i could have beat larry elder tonight. like that is not a difficult task in california. democrats so humble. that was an ounce of humility. a dash. i think he could have beat governor newsom tonight as well. i mean, but the fact is shawn clegg, ace smith, juan rodriguez were able to turn this election on their head and they were able to make this a referendum not on their candidate gavin newsom but a referendum on larry elder. and the problem the republican party has is that they have a long list of todd akins and is it catherine o donnell, one that i m not a witch. christine. christine o donnell. they have these nice memory there. thank you so much. they have a long list of these type of candidates. they include larry elder. they include herschel walker. the list is long. and that is what you get with donald trump. and republicans have to realize one thing. trumpism works for donald