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Magnitude 4 earthquake rates may forecast larger future earthquakes
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People take photos of a damaged wine tasting room after a 6.0-magnitude earthquake struck in Napa, Calif., in August 2014, along a fault line believed to be the northern extension of the Calaveras Fault. File Photo by David Yee/UPI | License Photo
April 19 (UPI) A new forecasting model suggests an uptick in the frequency of magnitude 4 earthquakes along certain faults can predict large earthquake events of magnitude 6.7 or larger.
A few years ago, while studying seismic patterns along California s most active fault lines, a team of researchers led by Boston College seismologist John Ebel identified several faults that hosted an average of at least 0.5 magnitude 4 earthquakes per year from 1997 to 2016.
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