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We pretty much know this already. ron paul is going to build. he had one lonely county, a tiny county one year ago. where do you watch for ron paul? ames. college campuses here in the state, tea party and avan gellical voters. let s see if he can stretch that. you just showed romney tied with ron paul. this could become part of the conversation tonight. these are early preliminary numbers. we don t know if romney will go higher or lower, but look what romney got in iowa. if he matches that number, look, winning beats losing, but if he matches this number, there will be the conversation that we ve had throughout the primaries, can he grow, can he expand his coalition? can he do more? if romney wins, they think out here, they think tonight the electorate is slightly older, slightly more independent, slight he fewer evangelicals by ....
look at what we call the bottom four right now. we see newt gingrich, the governor rick perry, michele bachmann, jon huntsman. he s technically there even though he didn t campaign really in iowa. he s spending all of his time in new hampshire. presumably he ll come in last. he won t drop out because he s doing all of his campaigning in new hampshire. but remember, this is very early right now. it s sort of coincides, this top tier w the most recent polls we saw, not only our cnn/time poll, the des moines register poll, an nbc/marist poll. these are the three individual, the top tier. no matter how you look at these entrance polls, you can think of it as the most recent poll in iowa. because this is a poll really. and it s a little bit more accurate presumably than the other polls because this is a poll that isn t of likely caucusgoers. we know these are real caucusgoers who participated in this poll, this entrance poll as we call it. the top tier will presumably gett ....
michele bachmann, the congresswoman from minnesota, only 5%. jon huntsman, the former utah governor, 1%. let me show you our official projections as of right now. we ll put it up on the board over here. we can t project who wins or comes in second, because it is so close between rick santorum and mitt romney, but we can project that ron paul, the congressman from texas, will come in third. newt gingrich, the former speaker of the house, will come in fourth. rick perry, the governor of texas, will come in fifth. michele bachmann, the congresswoman from minnesota, will come in sixth, and jon huntsman, the former u.s. ambassador to china, the former utah governor, will come in seventh. let s go to john king. he s monitoring what s going on at the magic wall. and it s a dramatic night. who would have thought rick santorum and mitt romney would be fighting it out this late? and you re watching the map right now. rick santorum is purple, mitt romney is the dark red. you mig ....
The darker the county, the higher percentage of republicans in this part of the state identify with the tea party. let s use blue for the contrast here. a lot of tea party voters, a lot of tea party voters. if ron paul is to be a serious contender, he ll fill in the map in places like this. his son rand paul was there to help him during this campaign. libertarians, young people, tea party voters, that s the test for ron paul tonight. can he expand from the one lonely county he won back in 2008? want to clear this and go back to our 2008 experience. take this off, excuse me, and come back to 2008, this is the test for governor romney. this was his strongest area right here. the campaign is hoping overall turnout higher than the 118,000 that came out last time. the romney campaign is desperate tonight that this not happen, that the middle not fill in for rick santorum like it did for ....
The middle of the state, with a couple of exceptions four years ago, was mike huckabee country. as we watch it tonight, it is largely rick santorum country, with the exception of ron paul. we project ron paul will be third. ron paul won one lonely county, jefferson county, four years ago. we don t have any results there yet. it s a tiny county, wolf. but look at how wouldn t paron stretched his map. a three-man race, governor perry winning two small counties down here. gingrich and bachmann each had a county earlier in the night up here, gone now. as we watch for the final precincts, do here. hold on a second. ron paul is coming out, over at ron paul headquarters. he s got an enthusiastic applause over there. he s about to speak. you see his son, rand paul, standing right behind him. let s see if we can hear what ron paul, the congressman is about to say. ....