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Can AI Make Economic Predictions by Reading the Newspaper?

In a new study, a team led by Yale SOM researchers devised a way to distill the text of the Wall Street Journal into numerical indicators, which could help policymakers predict how the business cycle will unfold over the coming months and years. ....

Bryan Kelly , Leland Bybee , Asaf Manela , Dacheng Xiu , University Of Chicago , Washington University In St , Federal Reserve , Wall Street Journal , Washington University ,

How researchers used decades of Wall Street Journal articles to predict stock market returns

Based on an analysis of 763,887 Wall Street Journal articles published from 1984 to 2017, researchers found that news coverage of particular topics predicts 25% of average fluctuations in stock market returns. ....

Richard Roll , Leland Bybee , Clark Merrefield , Bill Clinton , Dacheng Xiu , Yale University , Asaf Manela At Washington University In St , University Of Chicago , National Bureau Of Economic Research , Dow Jones , Business Cycles , National Bureau , Street Journal , Bryan Kelly , Asaf Manela , Washington University , Wall Street Journal , President Bill Clinton , Affordable Care Act , Holy Grail , Creative Commons , Philip Strong ,