there are many lebanese deeply concerned about that and many israelis to and so i think even if know who we want to be sure that he could properly manage that if indeed it did flare up. and of course, finally and all of this, iran does it run really need a larger conflagration now, i think there are some hardline generals who need us waging. but i think it s pretty clear. iran is fairly weak place as i ve apogee of its regional power, i think is behind it. it s got proxies, yes, in syria? iraq, notably hezbollah, to israel s north in lebanon more widely. i don t really get the feeling that iran is looking for some kind of economically is still struggling. they ve got a whole load of internal issues to do with dissent that they may not have entirely cleared up at the moment. and so we may be seeing this chapter possibly coming to a close, but it s the inherent unpredictability of all of this. remember, there s been reporting to suggest that indeed when the continent and syria was hit
max here is, i don t think any particular party right now wants to see a wider conflagration. we haven t mentioned the united states yet. they re the he party in all of this who are backing the israelis. most of the way increasing this content from biden, i think it s very clear. they don t need a wider middle east war as the election season picks up, their side the israelis, well, until i think they ve dealt with whatever they considered to be the remaining issues for them and raffa and gaza i can t imagine them starting now is a good time to open a whole new front. remember, if they get into a direct confrontation with iran, it s unlikely to be as much slinging missiles over syria and iraq is more likely to be hezbollah to their north, but become a key player in all of this. i think probably israel, be keen to deal with it s pressing concern that was now in gaza before it opens some sort of front to its north. remember, people have been worried about hezbollah, israel confrontation f
iran launching attacks on israel or vice versa. and i think the real greyzone hear the uncertainty is if what happens, for example, if iran uses its proxy forces in brock or syria against israel all escalates the conflict along israel s northern border with lebanon syria, hezbollah does israel then respond directly against iran as it s done today? and that generates a counter response. so i do think to a degree the strikes by iran against israel and israel against iran have changed the dynamics of the middle east. and i think it does bear quotient that we could be in for a more unpredictable and dangerous future in the region has scaling down that iranian attack allowed israel to scale up the attack on rafah let s do early to tell, i mean, obviously we ll see what happens. we re rafah, it s very clear to me that the efforts
that it was relatively small even given positive israeli covert action in the slide, iran against senior officials. and obviously it s overt action, bombing raids in syria that led to the april 1 incident that they clearly trying to listen baby or understanding the us and other allied views that any major attack on iran would spin a situation out of control, and that they should just make sure that whatever they do does not spin a situation out-of-control& draw both countries which are the biggest, most powerful powers in the region. israel, and iran. israel obviously much more heavily armed and then iran much more heavily capable as you know? the nuclear power, but it has very sophisticated american weapons offensive and defensive so make sure that this doesn t spin out of control. and all my conversations, this past week including with the former israeli intelligence a military