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Top forecaster stays bullish on Indian Rupee, Southeast Asia currencies


Currencies in India and Southeast Asia will rebound in the second half of the year, as the quickening pace of coronavirus vaccinations boosts their economic recoveries, according to the region’s top forecaster.
“I am more positive on South and Southeast Asian currencies than their North Asian peers,” said Alvin Tan, head of Asia currency strategy at RBC Capital Markets LLC, which topped Bloomberg’s ranking for Asia ex-Japan currencies last quarter. “There’s more room for positive surprises, particularly in Southeast Asia. The vaccination progress will be a very key component of that.”
Currencies in Southeast Asia and India have lagged their counterparts in Taiwan and China this year, as the re-imposition of lockdowns due to surging coronavirus cases weighed on growth. The Thai baht and Malaysian ringgit, for instance, are down more than 3% against the dollar, while the Taiwan dollar is up more than 1%. ....

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currencies: Top forecaster stays bullish on India, Southeast Asia currencies


Synopsis
The race, however, by countries from the Philippines to Malaysia to inoculate their populations is boosting optimism of a stronger rebound for Southeast Asia in the second half of the year.
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The biggest risks for Asian currencies are a more hawkish Federal Reserve as that would boost the dollar, as well as the spread of the more infectious variants of the coronavirus, Tan said.
Related
Currencies in India and Southeast Asia will rebound in the second half of the year, as the quickening pace of coronavirus vaccinations boosts their economic recoveries, according to the region’s top forecaster. ....

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